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  • Does Seasonality Still Support a December Rally? November 30, 2022
    Wednesday, November 30, 2022 As November draws to a close, many investors are looking forward to stocks delivering some holiday cheer and a potential December stock market rally. Today we take a look at what clues seasonality data may give … Continue reading →
    George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist
  • Munis: A Historically Defensive Asset Class During Economic Downturns November 29, 2022
    Tuesday, November 29, 2022 With the Federal Reserve (Fed) embarking on the most aggressive rate hiking campaign since the 1980s, the risks of an economic slowdown have increased. With inflationary pressures continuing to run hotter than the Fed would like, … Continue reading →
    Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist
  • Weekly Market Performance – Markets Mostly Higher During Thanksgiving Holiday Week November 25, 2022
    Friday, November 25, 2022 Index Performance View enlarged chart. U.S. and International Equities Markets Finish Mostly Higher The S&P 500 Index finished higher during the shortened trading week, led by the utilities and materials sectors.  In addition, the financials and … Continue reading →
    David Matzko
  • Are Post-election Trends Supportive for Stocks? November 23, 2022
    Wednesday, November 23, 2022 Now that the dust has largely settled on the 2022 midterm elections, with the Democrats retaining control of the Senate and the Republicans taking a narrow majority in the House, we take a look at some … Continue reading →
    George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist
  • The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Recessions November 22, 2022
    Tuesday, November 22, 2022 The shape of the U.S. Treasury yield curve is often looked at as a barometer for U.S. economic growth. More specifically, it reflects how the Federal Reserve (Fed) intends to stimulate or slow economic growth by … Continue reading →
    Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist
  • Weekly Market Performance – Markets Lower Following Last Week’s Solid Showing November 18, 2022
    Friday, November 18, 2022 Index Performance View enlarged chart. U.S. and International Equities Markets Finish the Week Lower Stocks finished the week lower after last week’s nearly 6% increase for the S&P 500 Index.  Mixed retail earnings amid consumer financial … Continue reading →
    David Matzko
  • Using Point & Figure Analysis to Define Market Conditions November 18, 2022
    Friday, November 18, 2022 LPL Research explores point and figure analysis and how it can be utilized to define market conditions. Despite recent overbought readings, history suggests buying pressure may not be over. Background Point and figure (P&F) analysis dates … Continue reading →
    Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist
  • Did Retail Sales Change the Market Narrative? November 17, 2022
    Thursday, November 17, 2022 Were Retail Sales Too Good? Nominal retail sales in October rose 1.3% from a month ago, strongly beating expectations. Market watchers like to transform this nominal report into an inflation-adjusted estimate, which better corresponds to other … Continue reading →
    Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist
  • World Cup-onomics 2022 November 16, 2022
    Wednesday, November 16, 2022 We look, through an economic lens, at the biggest sports event on the planet that kicks off on Sunday November 20 in Doha, Qatar – the soccer World Cup. We take a lighthearted look at some … Continue reading →
    George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist
  • Weekly Market Performance – Markets Higher Amid Improved October CPI November 11, 2022
    Friday, November 11, 2022 Index Performance View enlarged chart U.S. and International Equities Markets Finish the Week Higher Stocks finished the week higher amid Thursday’s cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) results. Moreover, Thursday’s rally was a testament to the bull’s … Continue reading →
    David Matzko
  • Breaking Down the 200-Day Moving Average November 11, 2022
    Friday, November 11, 2022 The S&P 500 has been stuck below its 200-day moving average (dma) for a statistically long time. History suggests the path to recapturing the 200-dma may require more time with additional downside risk. However, after the … Continue reading →
    Adam Turnquist, CMT, VP Chief Technical Strategist
  • Inflation Tide Turning November 10, 2022
    Thursday, November 10, 2022 Finally, an Encouraging Report After many months of inflation coming in above expectations, investors finally got a more favorable report with the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and are cheering it with a big stock … Continue reading →
    Jeffrey J. Roach, PhD, Chief Economist
  • Midterm Election Results Point to More Mixed Government November 9, 2022
    Wednesday, November 9, 2022 The main takeaway from election results currently is likely a mixed government, which we continue to view as market-friendly overall. There’s still some counting to do in some key races, but it remains very likely Republicans … Continue reading →
    George Smith, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Portfolio Strategist
  • The U.S. Government Could Be on the Hook for $1 Trillion in Annual Interest Expenses November 8, 2022
    Tuesday, November 8, 2022 With voters heading out to their local voting locations today to determine the make-up of the next U.S. Congress, regardless of the outcome, lawmakers may be tasked with doing more with less. Congress—and in particular, the … Continue reading →
    Lawrence Gillum, CFA, Fixed Income Strategist
  • Weekly Market Performance – Domestic Markets Lower Amid Hawkish Fed Talk November 4, 2022
    Index Performance View enlarged chart U.S. and International Equities Domestic Markets Finish Lower But Emerging Markets Shines Stocks finished lower after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell’s comments on Wednesday caused traders to sell off domestic equities mid-week. Market participants expected … Continue reading →
    David Matzko